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Updated Saturday, October 31
Daily home run predictions for every hitter on today's MLB slate. Each pick blends the batter's power form, the probable pitcher matchup, the ballpark home run factor, and first-pitch weather into simulated HR odds, so you can find the best home run props and targets before first pitch. Rankings refresh every morning and update as lineups lock. Propaholics is the new home of Dinger Data (formerly dingerdata.app), running the same daily home run model.
Top HR Candidates Today
These are the top HR picks. Get the full board.
These rankings blend power form, the pitcher matchup, park, and weather into home run odds for every hitter. Unlock the full slate, each hitter's model number, prop projections, and the daily report.
Start your free 7-day trialEvery hitter in today's lineups is run through a simulation that combines season and recent power form, the probable starter's home run rate and handedness split, the ballpark's home run factor, and first-pitch weather. The output is a ranked HR probability for each batter, refreshed every morning.
The top of the daily rankings shows the hitters with the highest simulated home run odds for tonight's slate. Each row pairs a batter with the park, weather, and pitcher matchup behind the number, so you can line the model up against the sportsbook price on any home run prop.
Predictions rebuild each morning once probable starters post, then adjust as lineups are confirmed through the afternoon. The date shown under the heading is the slate you are viewing, and you can toggle between today and tomorrow to plan ahead.
No lineup data available yet — check back closer to game time.