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Live 2+ touchdowns line and odds for Steelers @ Browns, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Michael Burton 2+ touchdowns odds for Steelers @ Browns: the consensus line is 1.5 2+ touchdowns with a best price of +14000 across 1 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
Position averages measured on 2023-2025 (RB 21%, QB 18%, WR 13%, TE 10%). The public bets last week's box score; repeats follow goal-line role, not recency.
Small sample by nature: doubles are rare. Share of the 6 doublers by position.
| Direction | PIT allows | Burton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPT | TD/g | TD | Rank | Tgt | Yds | YPT | TD | |
| Left | 81.9 | 6.22 | 0.53 | 9 | #14 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 |
| Middle | 91.9 | 8.36 | 0.41 | 7 | #32 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 |
| Right | 86.7 | 7.48 | 0.82 | 14 | #17 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 |
2025 regular season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPT.
| Wk | Vs | 2+ TD scorer on them | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W3 | CIN | ✗no double | |
| 26 W2 | NE | ✗no double | |
| 26 W1 | ATL | ✗no double | |
| 25 W18 | BAL | Zay Flowers WR1 | 2 |
| 25 W17 | CLE | ✗no double | |
| 25 W16 | DET | ✗no double | |
| 25 W15 | MIA | Darren Waller TE2 | 2 |
| 25 W14 | BAL | ✗no double | |
| 25 W13 | BUF | ✗no double | |
| 25 W12 | CHI | DJ Moore WR1 | 2 |
| 25 W11 | CIN | ✗no double | |
| 25 W10 | LAC | ✗no double | |
| 25 W9 | IND | ✗no double | |
| 25 W8 | GB | Tucker Kraft TE1 | 2 |
| 25 W7 | CIN | ✗no double | |
| 25 W6 | CLE | ✗no double | |
| 25 W4 | MIN | ✗no double | |
| 25 W3 | NE | Hunter Henry TE1 | 2 |
| 25 W2 | SEA | ✗no double | |
| 25 W1 | NYJ | Justin Fields QB2 | 2 |
The current consensus line is 1.5 2+ touchdowns with a best available price of +14000 across 1 sportsbooks for Steelers @ Browns. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
The game log on this page charts every game against the current line, with hit rates by window (last 5, last 10, season, and head to head).
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.