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Live first touchdown line and odds for Falcons @ Saints, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Treyton Welch first touchdown odds for Falcons @ Saints: current prices with a best price of +10000 across 5 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
| Wk | Opp | First TD | Pos | Qtr | 1st |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W3 | LV | Juwan Johnson | TE1 | 1 | ● |
| 26 W2 | BAL | Chris Olave | WR1 | 4 | |
| 26 W1 | DET | Kendre Miller | RB3 | 3 | |
| 25 W18 | ATL | Tyler Shough | QB1 | 2 | |
| 25 W17 | TEN | Chris Olave | WR1 | 3 | |
| 25 W16 | NYJ | Chris Olave | WR1 | 3 | ● |
| 25 W15 | CAR | Devin Neal | RB5 | 2 | |
| 25 W14 | TB | Devin Neal | RB5 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W13 | MIA | Chris Olave | WR1 | 3 | |
| 25 W12 | ATL | No TD | |||
| 25 W10 | CAR | Chris Olave | WR1 | 2 | |
| 25 W9 | LA | Juwan Johnson | TE1 | 2 | |
| 25 W8 | TB | No TD | |||
| 25 W7 | CHI | Chris Olave | WR1 | 2 | |
| 25 W6 | NE | T.Hill | 2 | ||
| 25 W5 | NYG | Rashid Shaheed | WR2 | 2 | |
| 25 W4 | BUF | Kendre Miller | RB3 | 1 | |
| 25 W3 | SEA | Jack Stoll | TE6 | 4 | |
| 25 W2 | SF | Juwan Johnson | TE1 | 2 | |
| 25 W1 | ARI | Alvin Kamara | RB2 | 2 | ● |
| Wk | Vs | First TD of the game | Qtr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W3 | GB | Christian Watson WR1 | 1 |
| 26 W2 | CAR | Chuba Hubbard RB1 | 1 |
| 26 W1 | PIT | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W18 | NO | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W17 | LA | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W16 | ARI | Michael Wilson WR1 | 1 |
| 25 W15 | TB | Sean Tucker RB3 | 1 |
| 25 W14 | SEA | Rashid Shaheed WR2 | 3 |
| 25 W13 | NYJ | Breece Hall RB1 | 2 |
| 25 W12 | NO | ✗ | 2 |
| 25 W11 | CAR | Tetairoa McMillan WR1 | 1 |
| 25 W10 | IND | Jonathan Taylor RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W9 | NE | DeMario Douglas WR2 | 1 |
| 25 W8 | MIA | De'Von Achane RB3 | 1 |
| 25 W7 | SF | Christian McCaffrey RB1 | 2 |
| 25 W6 | BUF | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W4 | WAS | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W3 | CAR | Bryce Young QB1 | 1 |
| 25 W2 | MIN | ✗ | 4 |
| 25 W1 | TB | ✗ | 1 |
The current line is shown on the card above with a best available price of +10000 across 5 sportsbooks for Falcons @ Saints. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
The game log on this page charts every game against the current line, with hit rates by window (last 5, last 10, season, and head to head).
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.