Can I filter Ameer Abdullah's game log?

Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.

Does Propaholics have a model projection for this prop?

Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.

← Back to board

Ameer Abdullah First Touchdown Odds

Live first touchdown line and odds for Jaguars @ Bengals, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.

Ameer Abdullah first touchdown odds for Jaguars @ Bengals: current prices with a best price of +5000 across 7 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.

Ameer Abdullah

RB4

JAX · RB · Jaguars @ Bengals · vs CIN

First TD

Locked

Model

Market

1.6%

Edge

Hit rate: L5 0% · L10 0% · Yr 0%

dra +4500wil +4000fan +3300bet +4000fan +3500bov +4000bet +4000

Upgrade to unlock our model number, edge and verdict

Game log vs line

Avg 0.0 TD

0.5 TD

4 att

0 rz att

1 tgt

0 rz tgt

3 att

0 rz att

1 tgt

0 rz tgt

3 att

0 rz att

1 tgt

1 rz tgt

CLE

9/13/26

@DEN

9/20/26

9/27/26

Why First TD (percentile vs position)

Opportunity43

Quality43

Matchup80

Environment84

Games15

Carries/g1.17

Yds/carry4.29

RZ carries/g0.25

Targets/g1.42

Yds/target5.82

RZ targets/g0.08

Pass att/g0

Yds/att0

RZ pass att/g0

TD/g0.08

Rush yds/g to RB110.2 #29

Rush att/g to RB21.2 #20

RZ att/g to RB4.2 #23

Pass yds/g251.8 #27

Rush TD20 #17

Pass TD36 #26

vs RB2+(rushing, this player's role)

Rush att/g to RB2+11.2 #26

Rush yds/g to RB2+53.6 #31

RZ att/g to RB2+1.9 #20

vs RB (in the passing game)

Targets/g to RB6 #28

Rec/g to RB4.8 #28

Rec yds/g to RB43 #31

vs RB3+(this player's role)

Targets/g to RB3+2 #28

Rec/g to RB3+1.6 #28

Rec yds/g to RB3+14.5 #31

Red-zone opportunities (inside 20)0.7%

Goal-line opportunities (inside 5)0.0%

Opening script (first 2 drives) vs 1.7% overall0.0%

Team red-zone pecking order

Travis Etienne RB131.7% (3.8/g)

Bhayshul Tuten RB113.9% (1.6/g)

Trevor Lawrence QB111.9% (1.4/g)

Parker Washington WR18.4% (1/g)

Jakobi Meyers WR25.4% (0.6/g)

Brenton Strange TE15.0% (0.6/g)

Dyami Brown WR45.0% (0.6/g)

Tim Patrick WR74.5% (0.5/g)

50%

Q1 kept clean

Median first TD

14'

Avg game minute

Who scores it (position share)

39%RB

RB39%WR28%TE22%QB11%

Model breakdown is a paid feature

WR 55%RB 30%QB 10%TE 5%

Wk	Opp	First TD	Pos	Qtr	1st
26 W3	NE	Josh Cameron	WR4	2	●
26 W2	DEN	Bhayshul Tuten	RB1	2	●
26 W1	CLE	Parker Washington	WR1	1	●
25 W18	TEN	Parker Washington	WR1	1
25 W17	IND	Trevor Lawrence	QB1	2
25 W16	DEN	Parker Washington	WR1	1	●
25 W15	NYJ	Brian Thomas Jr.	WR3	1	●
25 W14	IND	Travis Etienne	RB1	1	●
25 W13	TEN	Jakobi Meyers	WR2	1	●
25 W12	ARI	Travis Etienne	RB1	1	●
25 W11	LAC	Bhayshul Tuten	RB1	1	●
25 W10	HOU	Parker Washington	WR1	1	●
25 W9	LV	Trevor Lawrence	QB1	4
25 W7	LA	Travis Hunter	WR5	4
25 W6	SEA	Brian Thomas Jr.	WR3	1	●
25 W5	KC	Parker Washington	WR1	2
25 W4	SF	Travis Etienne	RB1	2	●
25 W3	HOU	Bhayshul Tuten	RB1	1	●
25 W2	CIN	Dyami Brown	WR4	1	●
25 W1	CAR	Hunter Long	TE3	2	●

● = also the game's first TD (what the first-TD market settles on)

Direction	CIN allows					Abdullah
	Yds/g	YPC	TD/g	TD	Rank	Att	Yds	YPC	TD
Left	62.8	5.65	0.53	9	#31	1	7	7.00	0
Middle	19.8	4.05	0.18	3	#4	5	25	5.00	1
Right	65.3	5.84	0.35	6	#31	8	28	3.50	0

2025 regular season, from play-by-play run direction (~96% of carries are charted). Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPC.

Direction	CIN allows					Abdullah
	Yds/g	YPT	TD/g	TD	Rank	Tgt	Yds	YPT	TD
Left	101.5	8.14	0.82	14	#31	1	0	0.00	0
Middle	59.4	8.15	0.53	9	#20	7	44	6.29	0
Right	84.7	7.31	0.59	10	#16	9	55	6.11	0

2025 regular season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPT.

Wk	Vs	First TD of the game	Qtr
26 W3	PIT	Roman Wilson WR3	1
26 W2	HOU	✗	2
26 W1	TB	✗	1
25 W18	CLE	✗	1
25 W17	ARI	✗	1
25 W16	MIA	✗	1
25 W15	BAL	Rasheen Ali RB3	2
25 W14	BUF	✗	1
25 W13	BAL	Derrick Henry RB1	1
25 W12	NE	Hunter Henry TE1	2
25 W11	PIT	Kenny Gainwell RB2	1
25 W9	CHI	✗	1
25 W8	NYJ	✗	1
25 W7	PIT	Jonnu Smith TE2	1
25 W6	GB	Josh Jacobs RB4	2
25 W5	DET	Sam LaPorta TE1	1
25 W4	DEN	Bo Nix QB1	1
25 W3	MIN	Josh Oliver TE4	1
25 W2	JAX	Dyami Brown WR4	1
25 W1	CLE	✗	1

✗ = CIN's own offense got the first TD (nobody beat them to it); a name = who did

More Ameer Abdullah research

Full Ameer Abdullah dashboard Ameer Abdullah 2+ Touchdowns Odds Ameer Abdullah Anytime Touchdown Odds Ameer Abdullah Last Touchdown Odds

Ameer Abdullah First Touchdown Odds FAQ

What is Ameer Abdullah's first touchdown line today?

The current line is shown on the card above with a best available price of +5000 across 7 sportsbooks for Jaguars @ Bengals. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.

How often does Ameer Abdullah go over the line in first touchdown?

Against the current first touchdown line, Ameer Abdullah has hit 0% over his last 5 games, 0% over his last 10, 0% across the season. The game log below charts every game against the line, and the range cards break it down by window.