Can I filter Darnell Washington's game log?

Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.

Does Propaholics have a model projection for this prop?

Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.

← Back to board

Darnell Washington First Touchdown Odds

Live first touchdown line and odds for Bengals @ Steelers, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.

Darnell Washington first touchdown odds for Bengals @ Steelers: current prices with a best price of +4000 across 2 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.

Darnell Washington

TE2

PIT · TE · Bengals @ Steelers · vs CIN

First TD

Locked

Model

Market

2.0%

Edge

Hit rate: L5 0% · L10 0% · Yr 0%

dra +4000fan +2800

Upgrade to unlock our model number, edge and verdict

Game log vs line

Avg 0.0 TD

0.5 TD

2 tgt

0 rz tgt

2 tgt

0 rz tgt

ATL

9/13/26

@NE

9/20/26

Why First TD (percentile vs position)

Opportunity42

Quality42

Matchup77

Environment16

Games15

Carries/g0

Yds/carry0

RZ carries/g0

Targets/g3.38

Yds/target8.27

RZ targets/g0.69

Pass att/g0

Yds/att0

RZ pass att/g0

TD/g0.08

Rush yds/g139.4 #31

Pass yds/g249.7 #26

Rush TD20 #19

Pass TD33 #24

vs TE (in the passing game)

Targets/g to TE9.7 #32

Rec/g to TE6.9 #32

Rec yds/g to TE86.2 #32

vs TE2(this player's role)

Targets/g to TE22.1 #31

Rec/g to TE21.3 #30

Rec yds/g to TE216 #32

Red-zone opportunities (inside 20)10.1%

Goal-line opportunities (inside 5)13.8%

Opening script (first 2 drives) vs 7.6% overall5.9%

Team red-zone pecking order

Jaylen Warren RB152.8% (2.5/g)

DK Metcalf WR115.7% (0.7/g)

Pat Freiermuth TE112.4% (0.6/g)

Darnell Washington TE210.1% (0.5/g)

Aaron Rodgers QB13.4% (0.2/g)

53%

Q1 kept clean

Median first TD

14'

Avg game minute

Who scores it (position share)

41%RB

RB41%WR24%TE24%QB12%

Model breakdown is a paid feature

RB 47%WR 26%None 11%TE 11%QB 5%

Wk	Opp	First TD	Pos	Qtr	1st
26 W2	NE	No TD
26 W1	ATL	Pat Freiermuth	TE1	2
25 W18	BAL	Connor Heyward	RB7	3
25 W17	CLE	No TD
25 W16	DET	Kenny Gainwell	RB2	2
25 W15	MIA	Connor Heyward	RB7	2	●
25 W14	BAL	Aaron Rodgers	QB1	1	●
25 W13	BUF	Jaylen Warren	RB1	2	●
25 W12	CHI	DK Metcalf	WR1	1
25 W11	CIN	Kenny Gainwell	RB2	1	●
25 W10	LAC	Roman Wilson	WR3	4
25 W9	IND	Jaylen Warren	RB1	2
25 W8	GB	DK Metcalf	WR1	2
25 W7	CIN	Jonnu Smith	TE2	1	●
25 W6	CLE	Connor Heyward	RB7	3	●
25 W4	MIN	Kenny Gainwell	RB2	1	●
25 W3	NE	Kenny Gainwell	RB2	1	●
25 W2	SEA	DK Metcalf	WR1	2
25 W1	NYJ	Ben Skowronek	WR5	1	●

● = also the game's first TD (what the first-TD market settles on)

Wk	Vs	First TD of the game	Qtr
26 W2	HOU	✗	2
26 W1	TB	✗	1
25 W18	CLE	✗	1
25 W17	ARI	✗	1
25 W16	MIA	✗	1
25 W15	BAL	Rasheen Ali RB3	2
25 W14	BUF	✗	1
25 W13	BAL	Derrick Henry RB1	1
25 W12	NE	Hunter Henry TE1	2
25 W11	PIT	Kenny Gainwell RB2	1
25 W9	CHI	✗	1
25 W8	NYJ	✗	1
25 W7	PIT	Jonnu Smith TE2	1
25 W6	GB	Josh Jacobs RB4	2
25 W5	DET	Sam LaPorta TE1	1
25 W4	DEN	Bo Nix QB1	1
25 W3	MIN	Josh Oliver TE2	1
25 W2	JAX	Dyami Brown WR4	1
25 W1	CLE	✗	1

✗ = CIN's own offense got the first TD (nobody beat them to it); a name = who did

Direction	CIN allows					Washington
	Yds/g	YPT	TD/g	TD	Rank	Tgt	Yds	YPT	TD
Left	101.5	8.14	0.82	14	#31	13	106	8.15	0
Middle	59.4	8.15	0.53	9	#20	11	127	11.55	1
Right	84.7	7.31	0.59	10	#16	19	131	6.89	0

2025 regular season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPT.

More Darnell Washington research

Full Darnell Washington dashboard Darnell Washington Last Touchdown Odds Darnell Washington 2+ Touchdowns Odds Darnell Washington Anytime Touchdown Odds

Darnell Washington First Touchdown Odds FAQ

What is Darnell Washington's first touchdown line today?

The current line is shown on the card above with a best available price of +4000 across 2 sportsbooks for Bengals @ Steelers. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.

How often does Darnell Washington go over the line in first touchdown?

Against the current first touchdown line, Darnell Washington has hit 0% over his last 5 games, 0% over his last 10, 0% across the season. The game log below charts every game against the line, and the range cards break it down by window.