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Live first touchdown line and odds for Colts @ Commanders, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Deion Burks first touchdown odds for Colts @ Commanders: current prices with a best price of +8000 across 6 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
| Wk | Opp | First TD | Pos | Qtr | 1st |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W3 | HOU | Keenan Allen | WR2 | 2 | ● |
| 26 W2 | KC | Tyler Warren | TE1 | 1 | ● |
| 26 W1 | BAL | Jonathan Taylor | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W18 | HOU | Alec Pierce | WR8 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W17 | JAX | Jonathan Taylor | RB1 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W16 | SF | Alec Pierce | WR8 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W15 | SEA | Josh Downs | WR1 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W14 | JAX | Jonathan Taylor | RB1 | 1 | |
| 25 W13 | HOU | Alec Pierce | WR8 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W12 | KC | Michael Pittman | WR2 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W10 | ATL | Jonathan Taylor | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W9 | PIT | Daniel Jones | QB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W8 | TEN | Jonathan Taylor | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W7 | LAC | Jonathan Taylor | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W6 | ARI | Tyler Warren | TE1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W5 | LV | Tyler Warren | TE1 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W4 | LA | Tyler Warren | TE1 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W3 | TEN | Jonathan Taylor | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W2 | DEN | Daniel Jones | QB1 | 2 | |
| 25 W1 | MIA | Michael Pittman | WR2 | 2 | ● |
| Wk | Vs | First TD of the game | Qtr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W3 | SEA | ✗ | 1 |
| 26 W2 | DAL | CeeDee Lamb WR1 | 1 |
| 26 W1 | PHI | Dallas Goedert TE1 | 2 |
| 25 W18 | PHI | Grant Calcaterra TE6 | 2 |
| 25 W17 | DAL | Jake Ferguson TE1 | 1 |
| 25 W16 | PHI | DeVonta Smith WR1 | 1 |
| 25 W15 | NYG | ✗ | 2 |
| 25 W14 | MIN | Josh Oliver TE4 | 1 |
| 25 W13 | DEN | ✗ | 2 |
| 25 W11 | MIA | ✗ | 3 |
| 25 W10 | DET | Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W9 | SEA | Tory Horton WR4 | 1 |
| 25 W8 | KC | K.Hunt | 2 |
| 25 W7 | DAL | Javonte Williams RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W6 | CHI | Caleb Williams QB1 | 2 |
| 25 W5 | LAC | Ladd McConkey WR1 | 1 |
| 25 W4 | ATL | Drake London WR1 | 1 |
| 25 W3 | LV | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W2 | GB | Romeo Doubs WR1 | 1 |
| 25 W1 | NYG | ✗ | 1 |
The current line is shown on the card above with a best available price of +8000 across 6 sportsbooks for Colts @ Commanders. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
The game log on this page charts every game against the current line, with hit rates by window (last 5, last 10, season, and head to head).
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.