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Live passing touchdowns line and odds for Raiders @ Chargers, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Kirk Cousins passing touchdowns odds for Raiders @ Chargers: the consensus line is 0.5 passing touchdowns with a best price of -260 across 3 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
An AI read on this prop built from our model: matchup, usage, coverage fit, and where our number splits from the line.
Upgrade to unlock| Split | LAC usage | Att | Comp% | Y/A | EPA/att | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man | 22.6% | 85 | 44.7% | 5.31 | -0.11 | 5 |
| Zone | 77.4% | 196 | 65.3% | 6.48 | +0.02 | 5 |
| Cover 3 | 31% | 75 | 60.0% | 5.84 | -0.14 | 2 |
| Cover 2 | 25.9% | 71 | 67.6% | 6.63 | +0.11 | 1 |
| Cover 1 | 12.9% | 54 | 48.1% | 6.65 | -0.01 | 3 |
| Cover 4 | 11.3% | 26 | 76.9% | 8.92 | +0.28 | 2 |
Mix fit: weighted by LAC's coverage diet he sits at -0.04 EPA/att vs his -0.02 overall (covers 97% of their shells).
Rates are last season, league-wide vs each coverage (a sample vs one defense is too small), from participation charting. Usage % is the opponent's charted pass plays. EPA/att = expected points added per attempt; positive = above expectation. TD is the raw count thrown vs that bucket, context only.
Where the opponent is vulnerable (rank 1 = toughest, 32 = most vulnerable; green = favorable) against where Cousins runs.
| Direction | LAC allows | Cousins | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPC | TD/g | Rank | Att | Yds | YPC | TD | |
| Left | 40.5 | 4.86 | 0.44 | #13 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 |
| Middle | 26.5 | 3.53 | 0.28 | #13 | 7 | 8 | 1.14 | 1 |
| Right | 39.5 | 4.80 | 0.22 | #9 | 2 | 9 | 4.50 | 0 |
Prior season, from play-by-play run direction (~96% of carries are charted). Opponent numbers are per game; the player's are season totals with YPC.
The current consensus line is 0.5 passing touchdowns with a best available price of -260 across 3 sportsbooks for Raiders @ Chargers. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
Against the current passing touchdowns line, Kirk Cousins has hit 80% over his last 5 games, 60% over his last 10, 60% across the season. The game log below charts every game against the line, and the range cards break it down by window.
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.