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Live first touchdown line and odds for Dolphins @ Vikings, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Kyler Murray first touchdown odds for Dolphins @ Vikings: current prices with a best price of +1500 across 6 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
| Wk | Opp | First TD | Pos | Qtr | 1st |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W3 | TB | Jordan Addison | WR2 | 2 | |
| 26 W2 | CHI | No TD | |||
| 26 W1 | GB | Justin Jefferson | WR1 | 2 | |
| 25 W18 | GB | C.J. Ham | RB7 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W17 | DET | Aaron Jones | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W16 | NYG | J.J. McCarthy | QB2 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W15 | DAL | Jalen Nailor | WR2 | 1 | |
| 25 W14 | WAS | Josh Oliver | TE4 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W13 | SEA | No TD | |||
| 25 W12 | GB | No TD | |||
| 25 W11 | CHI | Jordan Mason | RB4 | 4 | |
| 25 W10 | BAL | Aaron Jones | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W9 | DET | Justin Jefferson | WR1 | 1 | |
| 25 W8 | LAC | Jordan Addison | WR2 | 3 | |
| 25 W7 | PHI | Jordan Mason | RB4 | 3 | |
| 25 W5 | CLE | Josh Oliver | TE4 | 1 | |
| 25 W4 | PIT | Zavier Scott | RB4 | 4 | |
| 25 W3 | CIN | Josh Oliver | TE4 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W2 | ATL | No TD | |||
| 25 W1 | CHI | Justin Jefferson | WR1 | 4 |
| Direction | MIA allows | Murray | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPC | TD/g | TD | Rank | Att | Yds | YPC | TD | |
| Left | 48.3 | 5.62 | 0.29 | 5 | #23 | 14 | 81 | 5.79 | 0 |
| Middle | 36.2 | 4.11 | 0.18 | 3 | #29 | 1 | 4 | 4.00 | 0 |
| Right | 47.5 | 5.11 | 0.59 | 10 | #18 | 12 | 90 | 7.50 | 1 |
2025 regular season, from play-by-play run direction (~96% of carries are charted). Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPC.
| Wk | Vs | First TD of the game | Qtr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W3 | KC | Kenneth Walker III RB1 | 1 |
| 26 W2 | SF | Christian McCaffrey RB1 | 1 |
| 26 W1 | LV | Jack Bech WR6 | 1 |
| 25 W18 | NE | TreVeyon Henderson RB2 | 1 |
| 25 W17 | TB | Chris Godwin Jr. WR2 | 1 |
| 25 W16 | CIN | Tee Higgins WR2 | 1 |
| 25 W15 | PIT | Connor Heyward RB7 | 2 |
| 25 W14 | NYJ | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W13 | NO | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W11 | WAS | Deebo Samuel Sr. WR2 | 3 |
| 25 W10 | BUF | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W9 | BAL | Mark Andrews TE1 | 1 |
| 25 W8 | ATL | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W7 | CLE | Quinshon Judkins RB1 | 2 |
| 25 W6 | LAC | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W5 | CAR | ✗ | 2 |
| 25 W4 | NYJ | ✗ | 2 |
| 25 W3 | BUF | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W2 | NE | Mack Hollins WR3 | 1 |
| 25 W1 | IND | Michael Pittman WR2 | 2 |
The current line is shown on the card above with a best available price of +1500 across 6 sportsbooks for Dolphins @ Vikings. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
Against the current first touchdown line, Kyler Murray has hit 0% over his last 5 games, 0% over his last 10, 0% across the season. The game log below charts every game against the line, and the range cards break it down by window.
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.