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Live rushing attempts line and odds for Rams @ Broncos, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Matthew Stafford rushing attempts odds for Rams @ Broncos: the consensus line is 1.5 rushing attempts with a best price of -131 across 1 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
An AI read on this prop built from our model: matchup, usage, coverage fit, and where our number splits from the line.
Upgrade to unlock| Split | DEN usage | Att | Comp% | Y/A | EPA/att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man | 44.8% | 206 | 58.7% | 6.66 | +0.12 |
| Zone | 55.2% | 411 | 65.0% | 8.12 | +0.28 |
| Cover 1 | 31.2% | 146 | 59.6% | 7.70 | +0.10 |
| Cover 3 | 22.9% | 166 | 66.3% | 7.86 | +0.26 |
| Cover 2 | 16.4% | 112 | 69.6% | 8.47 | +0.25 |
Mix fit: weighted by DEN's coverage diet he sits at +0.21 EPA/att vs his +0.23 overall (covers 99% of their shells).
Rates are last season, league-wide vs each coverage (a sample vs one defense is too small), from participation charting. Usage % is the opponent's charted pass plays. EPA/att = expected points added per attempt; positive = above expectation.
Elite accuracy. Profile supports the pass yds over.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse
| Direction | DEN allows | Stafford | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPC | TD/g | TD | Rank | Att | Yds | YPC | TD | |
| Left | 32.8 | 4.07 | 0.29 | 5 | #5 | 1 | 4 | 4.00 | 0 |
| Middle | 21.4 | 3.43 | 0.24 | 4 | #6 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
| Right | 37.1 | 4.12 | 0.12 | 2 | #6 | 7 | 18 | 2.57 | 0 |
2025 regular season, from play-by-play run direction (~96% of carries are charted). Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPC.
The current consensus line is 1.5 rushing attempts with a best available price of -131 across 1 sportsbooks for Rams @ Broncos. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
The game log on this page charts every game against the current line, with hit rates by window (last 5, last 10, season, and head to head).
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.