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Live 2+ touchdowns line and odds for Falcons @ Packers, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Michael Penix Jr. 2+ touchdowns odds for Falcons @ Packers: the consensus line is 1.5 2+ touchdowns with a best price of +14000 across 6 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
Position averages measured on 2023-2025 (RB 21%, QB 18%, WR 13%, TE 10%). The public bets last week's box score; repeats follow goal-line role, not recency.
Small sample by nature: doubles are rare. Share of the 6 doublers by position.
| Wk | Vs | 2+ TD scorer on them | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W2 | NYJ | ✗no double | |
| 26 W1 | MIN | Justin Jefferson WR1 | 2 |
| 25 W18 | MIN | ✗no double | |
| 25 W17 | BAL | Derrick Henry RB1 | 4 |
| 25 W16 | CHI | ✗no double | |
| 25 W15 | DEN | ✗no double | |
| 25 W14 | CHI | ✗no double | |
| 25 W13 | DET | ✗no double | |
| 25 W12 | MIN | ✗no double | |
| 25 W11 | NYG | Devin Singletary RB3 | 2 |
| 25 W10 | PHI | ✗no double | |
| 25 W9 | CAR | Rico Dowdle RB2 | 2 |
| 25 W8 | PIT | ✗no double | |
| 25 W7 | ARI | Trey McBride TE1 | 2 |
| 25 W6 | CIN | ✗no double | |
| 25 W4 | DAL | George Pickens WR2 | 2 |
| 25 W3 | CLE | ✗no double | |
| 25 W2 | WAS | ✗no double | |
| 25 W1 | DET | ✗no double |
| Direction | GB allows | Jr. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPC | TD/g | TD | Rank | Att | Yds | YPC | TD | |
| Left | 43.6 | 4.52 | 0.29 | 5 | #17 | 6 | 36 | 6.00 | 0 |
| Middle | 32.3 | 4.10 | 0.24 | 4 | #24 | 4 | 23 | 5.75 | 1 |
| Right | 42.1 | 4.21 | 0.35 | 6 | #13 | 3 | 18 | 6.00 | 0 |
2025 regular season, from play-by-play run direction (~96% of carries are charted). Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPC.
The current consensus line is 1.5 2+ touchdowns with a best available price of +14000 across 6 sportsbooks for Falcons @ Packers. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
Against the current 2+ touchdowns line, Michael Penix Jr. has hit 0% over his last 5 games, 0% over his last 10, 0% across the season. The game log below charts every game against the line, and the range cards break it down by window.
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.