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Live first touchdown line and odds for Falcons @ Saints, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Nick Muse first touchdown odds for Falcons @ Saints: current prices with a best price of +14000 across 5 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
| Wk | Opp | First TD | Pos | Qtr | 1st |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W3 | GB | Bijan Robinson | RB1 | 1 | |
| 26 W2 | CAR | No TD | |||
| 26 W1 | PIT | Bijan Robinson | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W18 | NO | Drake London | WR1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W17 | LA | Bijan Robinson | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W16 | ARI | Bijan Robinson | RB1 | 2 | |
| 25 W15 | TB | Kyle Pitts | TE1 | 2 | |
| 25 W14 | SEA | No TD | |||
| 25 W13 | NYJ | Tyler Allgeier | RB2 | 2 | |
| 25 W12 | NO | David Sills | WR6 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W11 | CAR | Bijan Robinson | RB1 | 1 | |
| 25 W10 | IND | Tyler Allgeier | RB2 | 1 | |
| 25 W9 | NE | Drake London | WR1 | 1 | |
| 25 W8 | MIA | Tyler Allgeier | RB2 | 4 | |
| 25 W7 | SF | Bijan Robinson | RB1 | 3 | |
| 25 W6 | BUF | Tyler Allgeier | RB2 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W4 | WAS | Drake London | WR1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W3 | CAR | No TD | |||
| 25 W2 | MIN | Tyler Allgeier | RB2 | 4 | ● |
| 25 W1 | TB | Bijan Robinson | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| Wk | Vs | First TD of the game | Qtr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W3 | LV | ✗ | 1 |
| 26 W2 | BAL | Derrick Henry RB1 | 1 |
| 26 W1 | DET | Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W18 | ATL | Drake London WR1 | 1 |
| 25 W17 | TEN | Chig Okonkwo TE1 | 2 |
| 25 W16 | NYJ | ✗ | 3 |
| 25 W15 | CAR | Rico Dowdle RB2 | 1 |
| 25 W14 | TB | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W13 | MIA | De'Von Achane RB3 | 1 |
| 25 W12 | ATL | David Sills WR6 | 2 |
| 25 W10 | CAR | Rico Dowdle RB2 | 1 |
| 25 W9 | LA | Tyler Higbee TE4 | 1 |
| 25 W8 | TB | Sean Tucker RB3 | 3 |
| 25 W7 | CHI | D'Andre Swift RB1 | 2 |
| 25 W6 | NE | DeMario Douglas WR2 | 1 |
| 25 W5 | NYG | Theo Johnson TE2 | 1 |
| 25 W4 | BUF | Khalil Shakir WR2 | 1 |
| 25 W3 | SEA | Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1 | 1 |
| 25 W2 | SF | Luke Farrell TE2 | 1 |
| 25 W1 | ARI | ✗ | 2 |
The current line is shown on the card above with a best available price of +14000 across 5 sportsbooks for Falcons @ Saints. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
The game log on this page charts every game against the current line, with hit rates by window (last 5, last 10, season, and head to head).
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.