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Live last touchdown line and odds for Colts @ Chiefs, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Noah Gray last touchdown odds for Colts @ Chiefs: current prices with a best price of +3000 across 3 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
| Wk | Vs | Last TD of the game | Qtr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W1 | BAL | ✗Tyler Warren TE1 | 4 |
| 25 W18 | HOU | ✗Riley Leonard QB3 | 3 |
| 25 W17 | JAX | ✗Mo Alie-Cox TE2 | 3 |
| 25 W16 | SF | Christian McCaffrey RB1 | 4 |
| 25 W15 | SEA | ✗Josh Downs WR2 | 2 |
| 25 W14 | JAX | ✗Riley Leonard QB3 | 4 |
| 25 W13 | HOU | Nico Collins WR1 | 4 |
| 25 W12 | KC | K.Hunt | 4 |
| 25 W10 | ATL | ✗Jonathan Taylor RB1 | 5 |
| 25 W9 | PIT | ✗Josh Downs WR2 | 4 |
| 25 W8 | TEN | Tyjae Spears RB2 | 4 |
| 25 W7 | LAC | Oronde Gadsden II TE3 | 4 |
| 25 W6 | ARI | ✗Jonathan Taylor RB1 | 4 |
| 25 W5 | LV | ✗Jonathan Taylor RB1 | 3 |
| 25 W4 | LA | Tutu Atwell WR6 | 4 |
| 25 W3 | TEN | ✗Jonathan Taylor RB1 | 4 |
| 25 W2 | DEN | J.K. Dobbins RB1 | 3 |
| 25 W1 | MIA | De'Von Achane RB1 | 4 |
| Direction | IND allows | Gray | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPT | TD/g | Rank | Tgt | Yds | YPT | TD | |
| Left | 95.2 | 7.68 | 0.44 | #28 | 15 | 98 | 6.53 | 0 |
| Middle | 66.0 | 8.61 | 0.17 | #30 | 10 | 34 | 3.40 | 0 |
| Right | 104.7 | 6.61 | 0.78 | #30 | 13 | 51 | 3.92 | 0 |
Prior season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game; the player's are season totals with YPT.
The current line is shown on the card above with a best available price of +3000 across 3 sportsbooks for Colts @ Chiefs. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
Against the current last touchdown line, Noah Gray has hit 0% over his last 5 games, 0% over his last 10, 0% across the season. The game log below charts every game against the line, and the range cards break it down by window.
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.