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An AI read on this prop built from our model: matchup, usage, coverage fit, and where our number splits from the line.
Upgrade to unlockAbove each bar: att = rush attempts, tgt = targets, rz = red-zone.
| Coverage | HOU usage | Routes | Rec | YPRR | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man | 32.1% | 209 | 36 | 2.90 | 5 |
| Zone | 67.9% | 376 | 57 | 2.19 | 4 |
| Cover 1 | 29.1% | 125 | 23 | 3.69 | 3 |
| Cover 2 | 22.8% | 134 | 17 | 1.62 | 0 |
| Cover 3 | 21.4% | 117 | 23 | 2.96 | 3 |
| Cover 4 | 12.6% | 88 | 13 | 2.38 | 1 |
| Cover 6 | 7.5% | 27 | 3 | 1.33 | 0 |
| Cover 9 | 3.1% | 7 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 |
| Cover 0 | 1.9% | 26 | 6 | 3.00 | 2 |
| 2-Man | 1.2% | 58 | 7 | 1.17 | 0 |
| Combo | 0.3% | 3 | - | 0.00 | 0 |
| Blown | 0.2% | - | - | - | 0 |
YPRR and TD are season-long vs each coverage across the league (sample vs one defense is too small). Routes run approximated from participation charting. Usage % is the opponent's charted pass plays.
| Direction | HOU allows | Pickens | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPT | TD/g | TD | Rank | Tgt | Yds | YPT | TD | |
| Left | 86.5 | 7.14 | 0.41 | 7 | #19 | 73 | 812 | 11.12 | 7 |
| Middle | 49.1 | 6.68 | 0.24 | 4 | #13 | 16 | 252 | 15.75 | 1 |
| Right | 68.2 | 5.65 | 0.53 | 9 | #4 | 48 | 365 | 7.60 | 1 |
2025 regular season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPT.