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An AI read on this prop built from our model: matchup, usage, coverage fit, and where our number splits from the line.
Upgrade to unlockAbove each bar: att = rush attempts, tgt = targets, rz = red-zone.
| Coverage | CIN usage | Routes | Rec | YPRR | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man | 35.2% | 102 | 16 | 2.51 | 2 |
| Zone | 64.8% | 278 | 42 | 2.13 | 3 |
| Cover 3 | 32.7% | 113 | 15 | 2.00 | 1 |
| Cover 1 | 24.7% | 70 | 10 | 1.97 | 1 |
| Cover 2 | 20.1% | 85 | 16 | 2.84 | 2 |
| Cover 0 | 6.3% | 18 | 5 | 5.44 | 1 |
| Cover 6 | 5.1% | 24 | 1 | 1.08 | 0 |
| 2-Man | 4.2% | 14 | 1 | 1.43 | 0 |
| Cover 4 | 3.3% | 45 | 10 | 2.18 | 0 |
| Cover 9 | 3.2% | 11 | - | 0.00 | 0 |
| Combo | 0.2% | - | - | - | 0 |
| Blown | 0.2% | - | - | - | 0 |
YPRR and TD are season-long vs each coverage across the league (sample vs one defense is too small). Routes run approximated from participation charting. Usage % is the opponent's charted pass plays.
| Direction | CIN allows | Washington | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPT | TD/g | TD | Rank | Tgt | Yds | YPT | TD | |
| Left | 101.5 | 8.14 | 0.82 | 14 | #31 | 42 | 301 | 7.17 | 3 |
| Middle | 59.4 | 8.15 | 0.53 | 9 | #20 | 24 | 219 | 9.12 | 1 |
| Right | 84.7 | 7.31 | 0.59 | 10 | #16 | 29 | 327 | 11.28 | 1 |
2025 regular season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPT.