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Live first touchdown line and odds for Jets @ Bears, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Sam Roush first touchdown odds for Jets @ Bears: current prices with a best price of +8000 across 6 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
| Wk | Opp | First TD | Pos | Qtr | 1st |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W3 | PHI | Luther Burden III | WR2 | 1 | ● |
| 26 W2 | MIN | No TD | |||
| 26 W1 | CAR | Caleb Williams | QB1 | 1 | |
| 25 W18 | DET | Jahdae Walker | WR5 | 4 | |
| 25 W17 | SF | Luther Burden III | WR2 | 1 | |
| 25 W16 | GB | Jahdae Walker | WR5 | 4 | |
| 25 W15 | CLE | D'Andre Swift | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W14 | GB | Olamide Zaccheaus | WR3 | 3 | |
| 25 W13 | PHI | D'Andre Swift | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W12 | PIT | DJ Moore | WR1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W11 | MIN | Kyle Monangai | RB2 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W10 | NYG | Kyle Monangai | RB2 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W9 | CIN | Caleb Williams | QB1 | 1 | |
| 25 W8 | BAL | D'Andre Swift | RB1 | 4 | |
| 25 W7 | NO | D'Andre Swift | RB1 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W6 | WAS | Caleb Williams | QB1 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W4 | LV | Rome Odunze | WR1 | 3 | |
| 25 W3 | DAL | Rome Odunze | WR1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W2 | DET | Rome Odunze | WR1 | 1 | |
| 25 W1 | MIN | Caleb Williams | QB1 | 1 | ● |
| Direction | NYJ allows | Roush | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPT | TD/g | TD | Rank | Tgt | Yds | YPT | TD | |
| Left | 92.6 | 7.39 | 0.65 | 11 | #23 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 |
| Middle | 38.1 | 6.10 | 0.29 | 5 | #3 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 |
| Right | 95.7 | 8.34 | 1.18 | 20 | #23 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 |
2025 regular season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPT.
| Wk | Vs | First TD of the game | Qtr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W3 | DET | ✗ | 2 |
| 26 W2 | GB | MarShawn Lloyd RB2 | 2 |
| 26 W1 | TEN | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W18 | BUF | Dawson Knox TE2 | 1 |
| 25 W17 | NE | Austin Hooper TE3 | 1 |
| 25 W16 | NO | Chris Olave WR1 | 3 |
| 25 W15 | JAX | Brian Thomas Jr. WR3 | 1 |
| 25 W14 | MIA | Jaylen Waddle WR1 | 1 |
| 25 W13 | ATL | ✗ | 2 |
| 25 W12 | BAL | ✗ | 2 |
| 25 W11 | NE | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W10 | CLE | David Njoku TE4 | 1 |
| 25 W8 | CIN | Joe Flacco QB2 | 1 |
| 25 W7 | CAR | Xavier Legette WR3 | 2 |
| 25 W6 | DEN | Nate Adkins TE3 | 1 |
| 25 W5 | DAL | Jake Ferguson TE1 | 2 |
| 25 W4 | MIA | Darren Waller TE2 | 2 |
| 25 W3 | TB | Mike Evans WR1 | 2 |
| 25 W2 | BUF | James Cook RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W1 | PIT | Ben Skowronek WR5 | 1 |
The current line is shown on the card above with a best available price of +8000 across 6 sportsbooks for Jets @ Bears. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
The game log on this page charts every game against the current line, with hit rates by window (last 5, last 10, season, and head to head).
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.