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Live first touchdown line and odds for Colts @ Chiefs, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Xavier Worthy first touchdown odds for Colts @ Chiefs: current prices with a best price of +1300 across 7 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
| Wk | Opp | First TD | Pos | Qtr | 1st |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W1 | DEN | Patrick Mahomes | QB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W18 | LV | No TD | |||
| 25 W17 | DEN | Brashard Smith | RB3 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W16 | TEN | No TD | |||
| 25 W15 | LAC | Patrick Mahomes | QB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W14 | HOU | K.Hunt | 3 | ||
| 25 W13 | DAL | Rashee Rice | WR1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W12 | IND | K.Hunt | 4 | ||
| 25 W11 | DEN | K.Hunt | 3 | ||
| 25 W9 | BUF | Rashee Rice | WR1 | 2 | |
| 25 W8 | WAS | K.Hunt | 2 | ● | |
| 25 W7 | LV | Rashee Rice | WR1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W6 | DET | Xavier Worthy | WR2 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W5 | JAX | Travis Kelce | TE1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W4 | BAL | J.Smith-Schuster | 2 | ||
| 25 W3 | NYG | Tyquan Thornton | WR3 | 3 | |
| 25 W2 | PHI | Patrick Mahomes | QB1 | 2 | |
| 25 W1 | LAC | Patrick Mahomes | QB1 | 3 |
| Wk | Vs | First TD of the game | Qtr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W1 | BAL | ✗Jonathan Taylor RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W18 | HOU | ✗Alec Pierce WR1 | 1 |
| 25 W17 | JAX | ✗Jonathan Taylor RB1 | 2 |
| 25 W16 | SF | ✗Alec Pierce WR1 | 1 |
| 25 W15 | SEA | ✗Josh Downs WR2 | 2 |
| 25 W14 | JAX | Travis Etienne RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W13 | HOU | ✗Alec Pierce WR1 | 2 |
| 25 W12 | KC | ✗Michael Pittman WR2 | 1 |
| 25 W10 | ATL | ✗Jonathan Taylor RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W9 | PIT | ✗Daniel Jones QB1 | 1 |
| 25 W8 | TEN | ✗Jonathan Taylor RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W7 | LAC | ✗Jonathan Taylor RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W6 | ARI | ✗Tyler Warren TE1 | 1 |
| 25 W5 | LV | ✗Tyler Warren TE1 | 2 |
| 25 W4 | LA | ✗Tyler Warren TE1 | 2 |
| 25 W3 | TEN | ✗Jonathan Taylor RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W2 | DEN | Marvin Mims Jr. WR3 | 1 |
| 25 W1 | MIA | ✗Michael Pittman WR2 | 2 |
| Direction | IND allows | Worthy | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPT | TD/g | Rank | Tgt | Yds | YPT | TD | |
| Left | 95.2 | 7.68 | 0.44 | #28 | 29 | 190 | 6.55 | 0 |
| Middle | 66.0 | 8.61 | 0.17 | #30 | 10 | 71 | 7.10 | 0 |
| Right | 104.7 | 6.61 | 0.78 | #30 | 40 | 289 | 7.22 | 1 |
Prior season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game; the player's are season totals with YPT.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse
The current line is shown on the card above with a best available price of +1300 across 7 sportsbooks for Colts @ Chiefs. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
Against the current first touchdown line, Xavier Worthy has hit 0% over his last 5 games, 0% over his last 10, 7% across the season. The game log below charts every game against the line, and the range cards break it down by window.
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.