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Live receiving yards line and odds for Jaguars @ Broncos, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Courtland Sutton receiving yards odds for Jaguars @ Broncos: the consensus line is 41.5 receiving yards with a best price of -114 across 2 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
An AI read on this prop built from our model: matchup, usage, coverage fit, and where our number splits from the line.
Upgrade to unlock| Coverage | JAX usage | Routes | Rec | YPRR | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man | 24% | 140 | 22 | 2.39 | 2 |
| Zone | 76% | 450 | 52 | 1.52 | 5 |
| Cover 3 | 29.8% | 178 | 22 | 1.93 | 1 |
| Cover 2 | 26.1% | 155 | 20 | 1.68 | 4 |
| Cover 1 | 16.1% | 107 | 19 | 2.76 | 1 |
| Cover 4 | 9.2% | 62 | 5 | 0.58 | 0 |
| Cover 6 | 8% | 33 | 4 | 1.12 | 0 |
| Cover 0 | 4.5% | 17 | 1 | 0.88 | 1 |
| 2-Man | 3.4% | 16 | 2 | 1.50 | 0 |
| Cover 9 | 2.7% | 19 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 |
| Combo | 0.1% | 3 | - | 0.00 | 0 |
YPRR and TD are season-long vs each coverage across the league (sample vs one defense is too small). Routes run approximated from participation charting. Usage % is the opponent's charted pass plays.
Which side of the defense is vulnerable (rank 1 = toughest, 32 = most vulnerable; green = favorable) against where Sutton is targeted.
| Direction | JAX allows | Sutton | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPT | TD/g | Rank | Tgt | Yds | YPT | TD | |
| Left | 93.6 | 6.04 | 0.39 | #27 | 63 | 557 | 8.84 | 3 |
| Middle | 47.3 | 6.66 | 0.50 | #9 | 16 | 117 | 7.31 | 0 |
| Right | 87.8 | 6.35 | 0.56 | #20 | 50 | 354 | 7.08 | 4 |
Prior season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game; the player's are season totals with YPT.
The current consensus line is 41.5 receiving yards with a best available price of -114 across 2 sportsbooks for Jaguars @ Broncos. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
Against the current receiving yards line, Courtland Sutton has hit 60% over his last 5 games, 60% over his last 10, 65% across the season. The game log below charts every game against the line, and the range cards break it down by window.
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.