New here? Get a 7-day free trial.Full access to every number and matchup. Then $15/mo or $110/yr, cancel anytime.Start free trial →
Live receptions line and odds for Lions @ Bills, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
DJ Moore receptions odds for Lions @ Bills: the consensus line is 4.5 receptions with a best price of -115 across 7 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
An AI read on this prop built from our model: matchup, usage, coverage fit, and where our number splits from the line.
Upgrade to unlock| Coverage | DET usage | Routes | Rec | YPRR | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man | 40.9% | 141 | 16 | 1.54 | 3 |
| Zone | 59.1% | 387 | 34 | 1.16 | 3 |
| Cover 1 | 28.6% | 112 | 11 | 1.15 | 0 |
| Cover 3 | 28.1% | 181 | 14 | 0.94 | 1 |
| Cover 2 | 17.7% | 109 | 8 | 0.81 | 0 |
| 2-Man | 10% | 5 | 1 | 1.60 | 0 |
| Cover 4 | 7.2% | 48 | 4 | 0.71 | 2 |
| Cover 6 | 4.1% | 32 | 2 | 1.09 | 0 |
| Cover 0 | 2.3% | 24 | 4 | 3.33 | 3 |
| Cover 9 | 1.6% | 14 | 6 | 8.71 | 0 |
| Blown | 0.3% | 1 | - | 0.00 | 0 |
YPRR and TD are season-long vs each coverage across the league (sample vs one defense is too small). Routes run approximated from participation charting. Usage % is the opponent's charted pass plays.
Which side of the defense is vulnerable (rank 1 = toughest, 32 = most vulnerable; green = favorable) against where Moore is targeted.
| Direction | DET allows | Moore | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPT | TD/g | Rank | Tgt | Yds | YPT | TD | |
| Left | 80.2 | 6.56 | 0.67 | #12 | 30 | 234 | 7.80 | 2 |
| Middle | 62.0 | 9.15 | 0.33 | #23 | 22 | 164 | 7.45 | 1 |
| Right | 104.3 | 7.01 | 0.89 | #29 | 41 | 369 | 9.00 | 4 |
Prior season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game; the player's are season totals with YPT.
The current consensus line is 4.5 receptions with a best available price of -115 across 7 sportsbooks for Lions @ Bills. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
Against the current receptions line, DJ Moore has hit 20% over his last 5 games, 20% over his last 10, 18% across the season. The game log below charts every game against the line, and the range cards break it down by window.
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.