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Live first touchdown line and odds for Panthers @ Browns, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Harold Fannin Jr. first touchdown odds for Panthers @ Browns: current prices with a best price of +1300 across 2 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
| Wk | Opp | First TD | Pos | Qtr | 1st |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W2 | TB | Denzel Boston | WR1 | 3 | |
| 26 W1 | JAX | Denzel Boston | WR1 | 4 | |
| 25 W18 | CIN | No TD | |||
| 25 W17 | PIT | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W16 | BUF | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W15 | CHI | No TD | |||
| 25 W14 | TEN | David Njoku | TE3 | 2 | |
| 25 W13 | SF | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE1 | 2 | |
| 25 W12 | LV | Quinshon Judkins | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W11 | BAL | No TD | |||
| 25 W10 | NYJ | David Njoku | TE3 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W8 | NE | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W7 | MIA | Quinshon Judkins | RB1 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W6 | PIT | No TD | |||
| 25 W5 | MIN | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W4 | DET | Quinshon Judkins | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W3 | GB | Quinshon Judkins | RB1 | 4 | |
| 25 W2 | BAL | Cedric Tillman | WR5 | 3 | |
| 25 W1 | CIN | Raheim Sanders | RB2 | 2 |
| Wk | Vs | First TD of the game | Qtr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W2 | ATL | ✗ | 1 |
| 26 W1 | CHI | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W18 | TB | Cade Otton TE1 | 1 |
| 25 W17 | SEA | Zach Charbonnet RB4 | 3 |
| 25 W16 | TB | Mike Evans WR1 | 1 |
| 25 W15 | NO | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W13 | LA | Davante Adams WR2 | 1 |
| 25 W12 | SF | Jauan Jennings WR3 | 1 |
| 25 W11 | ATL | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W10 | NO | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W9 | GB | ✗ | 2 |
| 25 W8 | BUF | James Cook RB1 | 2 |
| 25 W7 | NYJ | ✗ | 2 |
| 25 W6 | DAL | Hunter Luepke RB6 | 2 |
| 25 W5 | MIA | De'Von Achane RB1 | 2 |
| 25 W4 | NE | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W3 | ATL | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W2 | ARI | Michael Wilson WR1 | 2 |
| 25 W1 | JAX | Hunter Long TE3 | 2 |
| Direction | CAR allows | Jr. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPT | TD/g | TD | Rank | Tgt | Yds | YPT | TD | |
| Left | 88.4 | 7.02 | 0.29 | 5 | #20 | 40 | 243 | 6.08 | 3 |
| Middle | 62.8 | 8.89 | 0.35 | 6 | #27 | 31 | 229 | 7.39 | 0 |
| Right | 63.9 | 6.36 | 0.53 | 9 | #2 | 36 | 259 | 7.19 | 3 |
2025 regular season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPT.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse
The current line is shown on the card above with a best available price of +1300 across 2 sportsbooks for Panthers @ Browns. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
Against the current first touchdown line, Harold Fannin Jr. has hit 40% over his last 5 games, 30% over his last 10, 25% across the season. The game log below charts every game against the line, and the range cards break it down by window.
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.