Live first touchdown line and odds for Jets @ Lions, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Jahmyr Gibbs first touchdown odds for Jets @ Lions: current prices with a best price of +320 across 2 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
| Wk | Opp | First TD | Pos | Qtr | 1st |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W2 | BUF | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB1 | 2 | |
| 26 W1 | NO | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W18 | CHI | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB1 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W17 | MIN | Isaac TeSlaa | WR3 | 2 | |
| 25 W16 | PIT | Isaac TeSlaa | WR3 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W15 | LA | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W14 | DAL | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W13 | GB | David Montgomery | RB1 | 2 | |
| 25 W12 | NYG | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR1 | 2 | |
| 25 W11 | PHI | Jameson Williams | WR2 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W10 | WAS | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W9 | MIN | Sam LaPorta | TE1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W7 | TB | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W6 | KC | Jameson Williams | WR2 | 2 | |
| 25 W5 | CIN | Sam LaPorta | TE1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W4 | CLE | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB1 | 1 | |
| 25 W3 | BAL | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W2 | CHI | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W1 | GB | Isaac TeSlaa | WR3 | 4 |
| Wk | Vs | First TD of the game | Qtr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W2 | GB | MarShawn Lloyd RB1 | 2 |
| 26 W1 | TEN | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W18 | BUF | Dawson Knox TE2 | 1 |
| 25 W17 | NE | Austin Hooper TE3 | 1 |
| 25 W16 | NO | Chris Olave WR1 | 3 |
| 25 W15 | JAX | Brian Thomas Jr. WR2 | 1 |
| 25 W14 | MIA | Jaylen Waddle WR1 | 1 |
| 25 W13 | ATL | ✗ | 2 |
| 25 W12 | BAL | ✗ | 2 |
| 25 W11 | NE | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W10 | CLE | David Njoku TE3 | 1 |
| 25 W8 | CIN | Joe Flacco QB2 | 1 |
| 25 W7 | CAR | Xavier Legette WR3 | 2 |
| 25 W6 | DEN | Nate Adkins TE3 | 1 |
| 25 W5 | DAL | Jake Ferguson TE1 | 2 |
| 25 W4 | MIA | Darren Waller TE3 | 2 |
| 25 W3 | TB | Mike Evans WR1 | 2 |
| 25 W2 | BUF | James Cook RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W1 | PIT | Ben Skowronek WR5 | 1 |
| Direction | NYJ allows | Gibbs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPC | TD/g | TD | Rank | Att | Yds | YPC | TD | |
| Left | 65.5 | 5.18 | 0.53 | 9 | #32 | 95 | 364 | 3.83 | 2 |
| Middle | 22.1 | 4.13 | 0.18 | 3 | #7 | 49 | 319 | 6.51 | 4 |
| Right | 53.2 | 4.48 | 0.47 | 8 | #26 | 99 | 540 | 5.45 | 7 |
2025 regular season, from play-by-play run direction (~96% of carries are charted). Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPC.
| Direction | NYJ allows | Gibbs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPT | TD/g | TD | Rank | Tgt | Yds | YPT | TD | |
| Left | 92.6 | 7.39 | 0.65 | 11 | #23 | 29 | 147 | 5.07 | 1 |
| Middle | 38.1 | 6.10 | 0.29 | 5 | #3 | 28 | 193 | 6.89 | 1 |
| Right | 95.7 | 8.34 | 1.18 | 20 | #23 | 37 | 273 | 7.38 | 3 |
2025 regular season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPT.
The current line is shown on the card above with a best available price of +320 across 2 sportsbooks for Jets @ Lions. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
Against the current first touchdown line, Jahmyr Gibbs has hit 40% over his last 5 games, 30% over his last 10, 29% across the season. The game log below charts every game against the line, and the range cards break it down by window.
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.