New here? Get a 7-day free trial.Full access to every number and matchup. Then $15/mo or $110/yr, cancel anytime.Start free trial →
Live first touchdown line and odds for Chiefs @ Raiders, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Jalen Nailor first touchdown odds for Chiefs @ Raiders: current prices with a best price of +2500 across 7 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
| Wk | Opp | First TD | Pos | Qtr | 1st |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W3 | NO | Michael Mayer | TE2 | 2 | |
| 26 W2 | LAC | Tre Tucker | WR1 | 2 | ● |
| 26 W1 | MIA | Jack Bech | WR6 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W18 | KC | No TD | |||
| 25 W17 | NYG | T.Lockett | 3 | ||
| 25 W16 | HOU | Brock Bowers | TE1 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W15 | PHI | No TD | |||
| 25 W14 | DEN | Brock Bowers | TE1 | 1 | |
| 25 W13 | LAC | Brock Bowers | TE1 | 2 | |
| 25 W12 | CLE | Ashton Jeanty | RB1 | 4 | |
| 25 W11 | DAL | Tre Tucker | WR1 | 4 | |
| 25 W10 | DEN | Ashton Jeanty | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W9 | JAX | Brock Bowers | TE1 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W7 | KC | No TD | |||
| 25 W6 | TEN | Michael Mayer | TE2 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W5 | IND | No TD | |||
| 25 W4 | CHI | Ashton Jeanty | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W3 | WAS | Tre Tucker | WR1 | 2 | |
| 25 W2 | LAC | No TD | |||
| 25 W1 | NE | Tre Tucker | WR1 | 1 | ● |
| Direction | KC allows | Nailor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPT | TD/g | TD | Rank | Tgt | Yds | YPT | TD | |
| Left | 93.6 | 7.01 | 0.35 | 6 | #24 | 21 | 194 | 9.24 | 1 |
| Middle | 27.6 | 7.34 | 0.24 | 4 | #1 | 6 | 53 | 8.83 | 0 |
| Right | 83.6 | 6.52 | 0.47 | 8 | #15 | 26 | 197 | 7.58 | 3 |
2025 regular season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPT.
| Wk | Vs | First TD of the game | Qtr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W3 | MIA | ✗ | 1 |
| 26 W2 | IND | Tyler Warren TE1 | 1 |
| 26 W1 | DEN | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W18 | LV | No TD | |
| 25 W17 | DEN | ✗ | 2 |
| 25 W16 | TEN | Chig Okonkwo TE1 | 2 |
| 25 W15 | LAC | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W14 | HOU | Woody Marks RB2 | 2 |
| 25 W13 | DAL | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W12 | IND | Michael Pittman WR2 | 1 |
| 25 W11 | DEN | Jaleel McLaughlin RB3 | 3 |
| 25 W9 | BUF | Dalton Kincaid TE1 | 1 |
| 25 W8 | WAS | ✗ | 2 |
| 25 W7 | LV | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W6 | DET | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W5 | JAX | ✗ | 1 |
| 25 W4 | BAL | Justice Hill RB2 | 1 |
| 25 W3 | NYG | Cam Skattebo RB1 | 2 |
| 25 W2 | PHI | Saquon Barkley RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W1 | LAC | Quentin Johnston WR2 | 1 |
The current line is shown on the card above with a best available price of +2500 across 7 sportsbooks for Chiefs @ Raiders. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
Against the current first touchdown line, Jalen Nailor has hit 0% over his last 5 games, 0% over his last 10, 0% across the season. The game log below charts every game against the line, and the range cards break it down by window.
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.