Can I filter Jaylen Waddle's game log?

Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.

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Jaylen Waddle First Touchdown Odds

Live first touchdown line and odds for Broncos @ 49ers, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.

Jaylen Waddle first touchdown odds for Broncos @ 49ers: current prices with a best price of +1400 across 5 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.

Jaylen Waddle

WR1

DEN · WR · Broncos @ 49ers · vs SF

First TD

Locked

Model

Market

5.1%

Edge

Hit rate: L5 20% · L10 10% · Yr 6%

dra +1300wil +1400fan +1400bet +1150bet +950fan +1200bov +1000

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Game log vs line

Avg 0.0 TD

0.5 TD

3 tgt

0 rz tgt

10 tgt

1 rz tgt

8 tgt

1 rz tgt

@KC

9/14/26

JAX

9/20/26

9/27/26

Why First TD (percentile vs position)

Opportunity81

Quality81

Matchup45

Environment44

Games19

Carries/g0.12

Yds/carry14

RZ carries/g0

Targets/g6.25

Yds/target9.1

RZ targets/g0.69

Pass att/g0.06

Yds/att8

RZ pass att/g0

TD/g0.38

Rush yds/g107.5 #10

Pass yds/g237.8 #22

Rush TD15 #10

Pass TD32 #19

vs WR (in the passing game)

Targets/g to WR17.5 #18

Rec/g to WR11.6 #25

Rec yds/g to WR144.3 #22

vs WR1(this player's role)

Targets/g to WR16.8 #24

Rec/g to WR14.3 #25

Rec yds/g to WR149 #14

Red-zone opportunities (inside 20)1.0%

Goal-line opportunities (inside 5)1.8%

Opening script (first 2 drives) vs 1.9% overall1.4%

Team red-zone pecking order

RJ Harvey RB224.1% (2.4/g)

Troy Franklin WR512.7% (1.2/g)

Courtland Sutton WR212.0% (1.2/g)

J.K. Dobbins RB112.0% (1.2/g)

Bo Nix QB110.8% (1.1/g)

Evan Engram TE16.6% (0.6/g)

Pat Bryant WR34.8% (0.5/g)

Tyler Badie RB33.6% (0.4/g)

65%

Q1 kept clean

Median first TD

23'

Avg game minute

Who scores it (position share)

45%RB

RB45%WR30%TE25%QB0%

Model breakdown is a paid feature

WR 50%TE 15%QB 15%RB 15%None 5%

Wk	Opp	First TD	Pos	Qtr	1st
26 W3	LA	Pat Bryant	WR3	3
26 W2	JAX	Nate Adkins	TE3	4
26 W1	KC	Evan Engram	TE1	1
25 W18	LAC	No TD
25 W17	KC	Bo Nix	QB1	3
25 W16	JAX	Courtland Sutton	WR2	2
25 W15	GB	Michael Bandy	WR7	2	●
25 W14	LV	Bo Nix	QB1	1	●
25 W13	WAS	Courtland Sutton	WR2	2
25 W11	KC	Jaleel McLaughlin	RB3	3	●
25 W10	LV	Troy Franklin	WR5	2
25 W9	HOU	Courtland Sutton	WR2	2	●
25 W8	DAL	RJ Harvey	RB2	1	●
25 W7	NYG	Troy Franklin	WR5	4
25 W6	NYJ	Nate Adkins	TE3	1	●
25 W5	PHI	J.K. Dobbins	RB1	4
25 W4	CIN	Bo Nix	QB1	1	●
25 W3	LAC	Courtland Sutton	WR2	2
25 W2	IND	Marvin Mims Jr.	WR4	1	●
25 W1	TEN	Courtland Sutton	WR2	2	●

● = also the game's first TD (what the first-TD market settles on)

Direction	SF allows					Waddle
	Yds/g	YPT	TD/g	TD	Rank	Tgt	Yds	YPT	TD
Left	95.5	6.97	0.41	7	#28	48	428	8.92	3
Middle	62.6	9.33	0.59	10	#26	15	190	12.67	1
Right	83.2	6.07	0.71	12	#14	37	292	7.89	2

2025 regular season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPT.

Wk	Vs	First TD of the game	Qtr
26 W3	ARI	✗	1
26 W2	MIA	✗	1
26 W1	LA	Kyren Williams RB1	2
25 W18	SEA	Zach Charbonnet RB4	1
25 W17	CHI	✗	1
25 W16	IND	Alec Pierce WR8	1
25 W15	TEN	✗	1
25 W13	CLE	✗	1
25 W12	CAR	✗	1
25 W11	ARI	✗	1
25 W10	LA	Kyren Williams RB1	1
25 W9	NYG	Theo Johnson TE2	1
25 W8	HOU	Jayden Higgins WR9	2
25 W7	ATL	✗	2
25 W6	TB	Rachaad White RB2	1
25 W5	LA	✗	1
25 W4	JAX	Travis Etienne RB1	2
25 W3	ARI	✗	4
25 W2	NO	✗	1
25 W1	SEA	✗	1

✗ = SF's own offense got the first TD (nobody beat them to it); a name = who did

More Jaylen Waddle research

Full Jaylen Waddle dashboard Jaylen Waddle Longest Reception Odds Jaylen Waddle 2+ Touchdowns Odds Jaylen Waddle Anytime Touchdown Odds Jaylen Waddle Receptions Odds Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Odds Jaylen Waddle Last Touchdown Odds

Jaylen Waddle First Touchdown Odds FAQ

What is Jaylen Waddle's first touchdown line today?

The current line is shown on the card above with a best available price of +1400 across 5 sportsbooks for Broncos @ 49ers. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.

How often does Jaylen Waddle go over the line in first touchdown?

Against the current first touchdown line, Jaylen Waddle has hit 20% over his last 5 games, 10% over his last 10, 6% across the season. The game log below charts every game against the line, and the range cards break it down by window.