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Live first touchdown line and odds for Raiders @ Chargers, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Michael Mayer first touchdown odds for Raiders @ Chargers: current prices with a best price of +1600 across 7 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
| Wk | Opp | First TD | Pos | Qtr | 1st |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W1 | MIA | Jack Bech | WR3 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W18 | KC | No TD | |||
| 25 W17 | NYG | T.Lockett | 3 | ||
| 25 W16 | HOU | Brock Bowers | TE1 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W15 | PHI | No TD | |||
| 25 W14 | DEN | Brock Bowers | TE1 | 1 | |
| 25 W13 | LAC | Brock Bowers | TE1 | 2 | |
| 25 W12 | CLE | Ashton Jeanty | RB1 | 4 | |
| 25 W11 | DAL | Tre Tucker | WR1 | 4 | |
| 25 W10 | DEN | Ashton Jeanty | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W9 | JAX | Brock Bowers | TE1 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W7 | KC | No TD | |||
| 25 W6 | TEN | Michael Mayer | TE2 | 2 | ● |
| 25 W5 | IND | No TD | |||
| 25 W4 | CHI | Ashton Jeanty | RB1 | 1 | ● |
| 25 W3 | WAS | Tre Tucker | WR1 | 2 | |
| 25 W2 | LAC | No TD | |||
| 25 W1 | NE | Tre Tucker | WR1 | 1 | ● |
| Wk | Vs | First TD of the game | Qtr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W1 | ARI | Jeremiyah Love RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W18 | DEN | No TD | |
| 25 W17 | HOU | Jayden Higgins WR10 | 1 |
| 25 W16 | DAL | Ryan Flournoy WR3 | 1 |
| 25 W15 | KC | Patrick Mahomes QB1 | 1 |
| 25 W14 | PHI | ✗Omarion Hampton RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W13 | LV | ✗Quentin Johnston WR2 | 1 |
| 25 W11 | JAX | Bhayshul Tuten RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W10 | PIT | ✗Ladd McConkey WR1 | 2 |
| 25 W9 | TEN | ✗Scott Matlock RB6 | 1 |
| 25 W8 | MIN | ✗Oronde Gadsden II TE3 | 1 |
| 25 W7 | IND | Jonathan Taylor RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W6 | MIA | De'Von Achane RB1 | 1 |
| 25 W5 | WAS | ✗Ladd McConkey WR1 | 1 |
| 25 W4 | NYG | Jaxson Dart QB1 | 1 |
| 25 W3 | DEN | ✗Omarion Hampton RB1 | 2 |
| 25 W2 | LV | ✗Keenan Allen WR3 | 1 |
| 25 W1 | KC | ✗Quentin Johnston WR2 | 1 |
| Direction | LAC allows | Mayer | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPT | TD/g | Rank | Tgt | Yds | YPT | TD | |
| Left | 71.8 | 6.50 | 0.28 | #6 | 18 | 93 | 5.17 | 0 |
| Middle | 50.9 | 8.65 | 0.28 | #13 | 13 | 119 | 9.15 | 1 |
| Right | 76.7 | 5.90 | 0.39 | #10 | 26 | 148 | 5.69 | 0 |
Prior season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game; the player's are season totals with YPT.
Next Gen Stats via nflverse
The current line is shown on the card above with a best available price of +1600 across 7 sportsbooks for Raiders @ Chargers. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
Against the current first touchdown line, Michael Mayer has hit 0% over his last 5 games, 10% over his last 10, 8% across the season. The game log below charts every game against the line, and the range cards break it down by window.
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.