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Live 2+ touchdowns line and odds for Colts @ Commanders, with hit rates, the game log vs the line, and the matchup behind the number.
Seth McGowan 2+ touchdowns odds for Colts @ Commanders: the consensus line is 1.5 2+ touchdowns with a best price of +12500 across 8 books. Below is the full research view: per-book prices, hit rates by window, the game log charted against the line, and the defensive matchup. Our model prices this prop independently of the books; the model number and edge unlock with an account.
Position averages measured on 2023-2025 (RB 21%, QB 18%, WR 13%, TE 10%). The public bets last week's box score; repeats follow goal-line role, not recency.
Small sample by nature: doubles are rare. Share of the 11 doublers by position.
| Direction | WAS allows | McGowan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPC | TD/g | TD | Rank | Att | Yds | YPC | TD | |
| Left | 52.4 | 5.20 | 0.53 | 9 | #27 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 |
| Middle | 33.2 | 4.31 | 0.06 | 1 | #25 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 |
| Right | 57.3 | 5.32 | 0.47 | 8 | #29 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 |
2025 regular season, from play-by-play run direction (~96% of carries are charted). Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPC.
| Direction | WAS allows | McGowan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yds/g | YPT | TD/g | TD | Rank | Tgt | Yds | YPT | TD | |
| Left | 95.1 | 7.66 | 0.47 | 8 | #27 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 |
| Middle | 57.4 | 10.38 | 0.29 | 5 | #16 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 |
| Right | 104.6 | 7.60 | 1.18 | 20 | #30 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 |
2025 regular season, from play-by-play pass location (~92% of attempts are charted). Sides are the offense's perspective. Opponent numbers are per game except TD (season total); the player's are season totals with YPT.
| Wk | Vs | 2+ TD scorer on them | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 W3 | SEA | Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1 | 2 |
| 26 W2 | DAL | CeeDee Lamb WR1 | 2 |
| 26 W1 | PHI | Dallas Goedert TE1 | 2 |
| 25 W18 | PHI | ✗no double | |
| 25 W17 | DAL | ✗no double | |
| 25 W16 | PHI | ✗no double | |
| 25 W15 | NYG | Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB3 | 2 |
| 25 W14 | MIN | Josh Oliver TE4 | 2 |
| 25 W13 | DEN | RJ Harvey RB2 | 2 |
| 25 W11 | MIA | ✗no double | |
| 25 W10 | DET | Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 | 3 |
| 25 W9 | SEA | Tory Horton WR4 | 2 |
| 25 W8 | KC | Unknown | 2 |
| 25 W7 | DAL | Jake Ferguson TE1 | 2 |
| 25 W6 | CHI | ✗no double | |
| 25 W5 | LAC | ✗no double | |
| 25 W4 | ATL | ✗no double | |
| 25 W3 | LV | Tre Tucker WR1 | 3 |
| 25 W2 | GB | ✗no double | |
| 25 W1 | NYG | ✗no double |
The current consensus line is 1.5 2+ touchdowns with a best available price of +12500 across 8 sportsbooks for Colts @ Commanders. Lines move throughout the day, so the card above always shows the live number.
The game log on this page charts every game against the current line, with hit rates by window (last 5, last 10, season, and head to head).
Yes. The game log on this page filters by home and away, win or loss, primetime, day of the week, and volume ranges like carries or targets, and the line stepper reprices the chart at alternate lines. Every filter updates the hit rates instantly.
Yes. Our model prices every posted prop independently of the sportsbooks and shows its probability next to the market's implied probability, with the gap between them. The model number on this prop unlocks with an account, and the board's top showcase play is free every slate.